13-07-2007, 03:34 AM
Clearly the AKP will win, but by how much?
Thursday, July 12, 2007
M. Ali Birand
The direction and the manner of discussions over the elections have been changing.
Up until a while back, whether the July 22 rendezvous would take place or not was being discussed. There were talks about an event taking place, and the elections being cancelled as a result. We left that probability behind. The Justice and Development Party (AKP) caution played a major role in the road leading to the current point. It did not become tough, it was patient, and did not get angry.
Everyone got involved in politics after the April 27 declaration of the general staff. There was a bloody settling of scores.
Now, we are in the final week.
There were no road accidents, and if there are no other accidents in these last couple of days, the elections will be held. The AKP benefited from the April 27 declaration, and the barring of Abdullah Gül from becoming the president following the declaration. It was clear that the declaration would benefit the AKP but it was not estimated that it would be to such a great extent. Even though a campaign was launched against the AKP, it did not yield the desired result.
The latest data shows that the vote rate for this party has exceeded 40 percent.
The winner of the elections is clear: The AKP
However, what is being discussed and not yet clear is how many deputies the AKP will yield in the elections. Everything depends on this number. For example, this number will define to what extent the reforms needed for Turkey's accession to the European Union will be realized.
Another issue being discussed is what other parties will enter the Parliament and with what number of deputies. The newest and yet the most taken-for-granted element of the elections is that the DTP will yield between 30 and 35 deputies. No one doubts that.
The Republican People's Party's (CHP) ascension continues.
The situation of the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) is the most critical issue. This party has surpassed the threshold but it is not known by how much. Every point that the MHP wins over is against the AKP's interests. Because of this, the MHP is the most closely observed party. Even a CHP-MHP coalition is viewed as a probability.
The Democrat Party (DP) is cited within these calculations. But its rates are not yet clear. DP's entrance into the Parliament is regarded important as it manifests itself as a party that would support the AKP in case of a political crisis.
To summarize, the picture has manifested itself but the details will have to wait until the evening of July 22.
It is not befitting to do politics with an executioner's rope
The MHP scares many of us.
Its leader, Devlet Bahceli, employs such a harsh and exaggerated language in meeting squares that I cannot believe he sincerely believes some of these views. Actually, I would not like to believe.
Founding its election strategy on executions and showing them as a part of justice, for a great party like the MHP, is a descend for Turkey.
However, I, like many others, have expected the MHP leader to battle the gangs primarily. Such an approach would be the biggest manifestation of his efforts to pull his party to the center. But Bahceli speaks only of the executioner's rope, and can call on Ocalan's execution in meeting squares by throwing this rope into the square.
Turkey should have left all of these behind. The fact that the MHP's rhetoric gets harsher as it gets closer to the Parliament causes concerns.
VOCABULARY
direction: yön
manner: tarz
election: seçim
rendezvous: buluş, buluşma yeri, randevu
probability: ihtimal
tough: sert, güçlü, sağlam, dayanaklı
declaration: deklarasyon, muhtıra
benefit: yararlanmak
estimate: tahmin etmek
launch: başlatmak
exceed: aşmak
deputy: milletvekili
yield: ürün vermek, yerini almak, almak
ascension: yükseliş
manifest: göstermek
exaggerate: abartmak
execution: idam, ölüm cezası, infaz
This article has been brought from Turkish Daily News so as to teach vocabulary. (http://www.turkishdailynews.com)
Thursday, July 12, 2007
M. Ali Birand
The direction and the manner of discussions over the elections have been changing.
Up until a while back, whether the July 22 rendezvous would take place or not was being discussed. There were talks about an event taking place, and the elections being cancelled as a result. We left that probability behind. The Justice and Development Party (AKP) caution played a major role in the road leading to the current point. It did not become tough, it was patient, and did not get angry.
Everyone got involved in politics after the April 27 declaration of the general staff. There was a bloody settling of scores.
Now, we are in the final week.
There were no road accidents, and if there are no other accidents in these last couple of days, the elections will be held. The AKP benefited from the April 27 declaration, and the barring of Abdullah Gül from becoming the president following the declaration. It was clear that the declaration would benefit the AKP but it was not estimated that it would be to such a great extent. Even though a campaign was launched against the AKP, it did not yield the desired result.
The latest data shows that the vote rate for this party has exceeded 40 percent.
The winner of the elections is clear: The AKP
However, what is being discussed and not yet clear is how many deputies the AKP will yield in the elections. Everything depends on this number. For example, this number will define to what extent the reforms needed for Turkey's accession to the European Union will be realized.
Another issue being discussed is what other parties will enter the Parliament and with what number of deputies. The newest and yet the most taken-for-granted element of the elections is that the DTP will yield between 30 and 35 deputies. No one doubts that.
The Republican People's Party's (CHP) ascension continues.
The situation of the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) is the most critical issue. This party has surpassed the threshold but it is not known by how much. Every point that the MHP wins over is against the AKP's interests. Because of this, the MHP is the most closely observed party. Even a CHP-MHP coalition is viewed as a probability.
The Democrat Party (DP) is cited within these calculations. But its rates are not yet clear. DP's entrance into the Parliament is regarded important as it manifests itself as a party that would support the AKP in case of a political crisis.
To summarize, the picture has manifested itself but the details will have to wait until the evening of July 22.
It is not befitting to do politics with an executioner's rope
The MHP scares many of us.
Its leader, Devlet Bahceli, employs such a harsh and exaggerated language in meeting squares that I cannot believe he sincerely believes some of these views. Actually, I would not like to believe.
Founding its election strategy on executions and showing them as a part of justice, for a great party like the MHP, is a descend for Turkey.
However, I, like many others, have expected the MHP leader to battle the gangs primarily. Such an approach would be the biggest manifestation of his efforts to pull his party to the center. But Bahceli speaks only of the executioner's rope, and can call on Ocalan's execution in meeting squares by throwing this rope into the square.
Turkey should have left all of these behind. The fact that the MHP's rhetoric gets harsher as it gets closer to the Parliament causes concerns.
VOCABULARY
direction: yön
manner: tarz
election: seçim
rendezvous: buluş, buluşma yeri, randevu
probability: ihtimal
tough: sert, güçlü, sağlam, dayanaklı
declaration: deklarasyon, muhtıra
benefit: yararlanmak
estimate: tahmin etmek
launch: başlatmak
exceed: aşmak
deputy: milletvekili
yield: ürün vermek, yerini almak, almak
ascension: yükseliş
manifest: göstermek
exaggerate: abartmak
execution: idam, ölüm cezası, infaz
This article has been brought from Turkish Daily News so as to teach vocabulary. (http://www.turkishdailynews.com)